Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brechin City win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brechin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.