Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Brechin City had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Brechin City win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.