Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Glebe Park

Brechin
1 - 3
Alloa

Scott (84')
Spark (39'), Ferguson (41')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taggart (17' pen.), Cawley (66'), Rankin (75')
Hetherington (40'), Scougall (42')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Brechin City and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brechin City

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Morton 1-0 Brechin
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	0	nan
2	Clyde	0	nan
3	East Fife	0	nan
4	Edinburgh	0	nan
5	Elgin	0	nan
6	Forfar	0	nan
7	Peterhead	0	nan
8	Spartans	0	nan
9	Stirling	0	nan
10	Stranraer	0	nan

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Alloa 0-0 East Fife (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Brechin City had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Brechin City win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Brechin City	Draw	Alloa Athletic
31.71% ( 0.02)	22.25% ( 0.14)	46.04% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 66.52% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.37% (

-0.69)

33.63% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.55% (

-0.79)

55.45% (

0.79)

Brechin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.46% (

-0.32)

21.54% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.39% (

-0.5)

54.61% (

0.5)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.32)

15.22% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12% (

-0.6)

43.88% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Brechin City 31.71%

Alloa Athletic 46.04%

Draw 22.25%

Brechin City	Draw	Alloa Athletic
2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.56% Total : 31.71%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.25%	1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 46.04%