Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a East Fife win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.