Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 1
Morton

Dowds (45')
Dempsey (27'), Dowds (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Broadfoot (21')
Oakley (23'), Baird (76'), Power (81')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Airdrieonians 3-1 Morton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Greenock Morton
38.06% ( 2.75)	26.17% ( 0.04)	35.77% ( -2.79)

Both teams to score 53.61% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06% (

-0.15)

50.94% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.18% (

-0.13)

72.81% (

0.13)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

1.52)

26.11% (

-1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.82% (

1.99)

61.18% (

-1.99)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

-1.66)

27.43% (

1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08% (

-2.2)

62.92% (

2.2)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 38.06%

Greenock Morton 35.77%

Draw 26.17%

Ayr United	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.06%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.77%