Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Airdrieonians

Ayr
2 - 1
Airdrieonians

Dowds (47'), McGinty (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Connor (38')
Todorov (70'), McMaster (80')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Airdrieonians
Sunday, March 24 at 4.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawAirdrieonians
33.69% (0.064 0.06)25.93% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)40.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81% (0.131 0.13)50.19% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85% (0.117 0.12)72.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.10299999999999 0.1)28.34% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.129 0.13)64.07% (-0.129 -0.13)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.53% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (0.056000000000004 0.06)59% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 33.69%
    Airdrieonians 40.38%
    Draw 25.92%
Ayr UnitedDrawAirdrieonians
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.38%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Airdrieonians
2-3
Ayr
Ballantyne (26'), Watson (84')
Rae (78'), Hutton (83')
Dowds (9', 48', 78')
Syla (83')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Ayr
1-0
Airdrieonians
Dowds (15')
Smith (90+4'), Smith (90+3')

McCabe (37'), McCabe (37'), Frizzell (90+1'), Megwa (90+3')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Airdrieonians
1-2
Ayr
McGregor (67')
Watson (55')
Chalmers (21'), Dowds (53')
Senga (71')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Airdrieonians
1-2
Ayr
Carrick (10')
Watt (66')
Watt (90')
Crawford (37'), Shankland (73')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Ayr
3-0
Airdrieonians
Geggan (50'), Shankland (81' pen., 84')
Kerr (23'), Geggan (36'), Adams (48'), Forrest (71'), Bell (76')

Ferguson (81')