Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • James Carragher 11' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 45'+3' goal
  • Aribim Pepple 87' yellowcard
  • goal George Stanger 5'
  • goal Fraser Bryden 61'
  • yellowcard Jamie Murphy 68'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Inverness 0 - 0 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Billy Mckay

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Dunfermline 2 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 41.8% (-0.02)
Draw 26.46% (-0.01)
Ayr United 31.74% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.77% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.11% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.88% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.5% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.49% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 11.68% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.32% (-0.01)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 74.99% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.33% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.66% (+0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 69.04% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.96% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.25% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 41.79%
Draw 26.46%
Ayr United 31.74%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 26.46%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.74%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Logan Chalmers 54' yellowcard
  • Logan Chalmers 65' goal
  • Jack Young 85' yellowcard
  • goal Billy Mckay 29'
  • yellowcard Wallace Duffy 38'
  • yellowcard Sean Welsh 50'
  • goal Morgan Boyes 55'
  • goal Morgan Boyes 63'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Max Anderson 27' yellowcard
  • David Wotherspoon 32' goal
  • David Wotherspoon 43' goal
  • Billy Mckay 45'+3' goal
  • Adam Brooks 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 61'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Francis Amartey 8' goal
  • Paul Smith 74' yellowcard
  • Nick McAllister 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Delaney 28'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 45'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 81' goal
  • goal Josh Mullin 35'
  • goal Mark McKenzie 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dipo Akinyemi 12' goal
  • goal Sean Welsh 19'
  • goal Jay Henderson 74'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 6' goal
  • Nathan Shaw 87' goal
  • goal Mark McKenzie 66'
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 82'