Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 41.8% ( | 26.46% ( | 31.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( | 52.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( | 74.49% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( | 25.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% ( | 59.66% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( | 30.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( | 67.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.74% |