Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ayr United in this match.