Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Queen's Park
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hampden Park
Ayr United

Queen's Park
1 - 2
Ayr

Paton (63')
Welsh (39'), Turner (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Murphy (40'), McKenzie (74')
Murphy (62'), Bryden (87'), Reading (89')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Queen's Park and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 2-0 Arbroath
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Queen's ParkDrawAyr United
36.28% (0.026000000000003 0.03)25.03% (0.053999999999998 0.05)38.69% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.62% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (-0.24 -0.24)45.82% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (-0.228 -0.23)68.14% (0.227 0.23)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)24.73% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-0.135 -0.13)59.29% (0.13399999999999 0.13)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.149 -0.15)23.45% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.214 -0.21)57.45% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Queen's Park 36.28%
    Ayr United 38.69%
    Draw 25.03%
Queen's ParkDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 36.28%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.69%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Ayr
2-2
Queen's Park
Dowds (23', 38')
Bannon (58'), Paton (90+5')
Thomas (22'), Robson (62')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Queen's Park
2-5
Ayr
Paton (28'), Hepburn (52')
Tizzard (70'), Longridge (90+1')
Chalmers (6', 12'), Rose (32'), Murphy (44'), Dowds (53')
Apr 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Ayr
0-0
Queen's Park
Feb 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Queen's Park
2-0
Ayr
Thomas (59' pen.), McAllister (77' og.)
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Ayr
5-0
Queen's Park
Akinyemi (6', 36', 53'), Young (59'), Dempsey (62')
rhs 2.0


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