Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Airdrieonians
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Penny Cars Stadium
Arbroath

Airdrieonians
5 - 2
Arbroath

Lyall (39'), McStravick (45+3'), Hancock (47'), Telfer (69'), Watson (77')
Frizzell (41'), Fordyce (57')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dow (16'), Gold (54')
Gold (22'), Bird (26'), Little (44'), McKenna (68')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-0 Arbroath
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawArbroath
63.66% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)20.59% (0.222 0.22)15.76% (0.242 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.31% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.514 -0.51)44.13% (0.521 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.503 -0.5)66.51% (0.51100000000001 0.51)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.81% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)13.19% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.1% (-0.595 -0.59)39.9% (0.603 0.6)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11%40.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54%77.46% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 63.65%
    Arbroath 15.76%
    Draw 20.59%
AirdrieoniansDrawArbroath
2-0 @ 11.06%
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.47% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 63.65%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.59%
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 15.76%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Airdrieonians
2-0
Arbroath
McStravick (19'), McGregor (79')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Arbroath
4-0
Airdrieonians
McKenna (27'), Hylton (35'), Bird (88'), McIntosh (90+1')
Little (32')
Little (38')

McCabe (45'), McStravick (51')
McStravick (55')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Arbroath
3-0
Airdrieonians
McKenna (12'), Shanks (48'), Thomson (60')
Hamilton (27')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
Airdrieonians
3-0
Arbroath
McIntosh (39', 80'), McIntosh (92')
Cairns (70')

O'Brien (68')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Arbroath
3-2
Airdrieonians
Linn (43', 59' pen., 63' pen.)
Spence (57'), O'Brien (67')
Carrick (27'), Duffy (52')
Houston (7'), Gallagher (31'), Duffy (35')
rhs 2.0


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