Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 81.54%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.79%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.9%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 81.54% ( | 12.42% ( | 6.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.65% ( | 34.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.74% ( | 56.26% ( |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.61% ( | 6.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.02% ( | 23.98% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.79% ( | 53.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.22% ( | 86.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 12.86% ( 3-0 @ 11.79% ( 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 4-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 4-1 @ 5.11% ( 5-0 @ 4.46% ( 5-1 @ 2.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 6-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 6-1 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 4.19% Total : 81.53% | 1-1 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 2-2 @ 2.56% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.42% | 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 1-2 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 6.05% |