Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dundee United |
| 24.52% ( | 23.74% ( | 51.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.18% ( | 45.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( | 68.13% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( | 32.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( | 69.29% ( |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( | 17.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.63% ( | 48.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 6.48% 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 3-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.52% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0-3 @ 5.01% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.65% Total : 51.74% |