Scottish Championship | Gameweek 27

Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
3 - 2
Raith Rovers

Bird (61'), McIntosh (69'), Stowe (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rudden (26'), Mullin (49')
Matthews (46')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Queen's Park 6-0 Arbroath
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-0 Morton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
25.71% ( 0.06)	24.87% ( 0.03)	49.41% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38% (

-0.07)

49.61% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36% (

-0.06)

71.63% (

0.06)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22% (

0.01)

33.78% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56% (

0.01)

70.44% (

-0.01)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-0.06)

20.1% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

-0.1)

52.34% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 25.71%

Raith Rovers 49.41%

Draw 24.87%

Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.71%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.41%