Scottish Championship | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Penny Cars Stadium

Airdrieonians
3 - 1
Morton

Todorov (1'), Telfer (15'), Hancock (68')
Megwa (79'), Hancock (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Garrity (73')
Bearne (42'), Broadfoot (66'), Quitongo (79'), Baird (79'), French (80')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Arbroath 1-2 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 2-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Greenock Morton
40.16% ( -0.45)	25.6% ( -0.06)	34.24% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.34% (

0.37)

48.66% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

0.33)

70.77% (

-0.34)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

-0.07)

23.95% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

-0.1)

58.18% (

0.09)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

0.48)

27.26% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31% (

0.63)

62.69% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 40.16%

Greenock Morton 34.24%

Draw 25.59%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 34.24%