Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 26.03% ( | 24.47% ( | 49.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( | 47.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( | 69.89% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( | 32.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( | 69.02% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( | 19.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.95% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 3-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.5% |