Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Gayfield Park
  • Scott Stewart 54' goal
  • Scott Stewart 64' goal
  • goal Ewan Otoo 24'
  • goal Paul Allan 32'
  • goal Chris Kane 45'
  • yellowcard Kane Ritchie-Hosler 90'+4'

Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 1 Partick
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jay Bird

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Craig Wighton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result

Arbroath 28.92% (-0.06)
Draw 24.81% (+0.02)
Dunfermline Athletic 46.26% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.63% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.77% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.23% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.54% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 69.46% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.05% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.95% (+0.07)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 69.95% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 30.05% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 33.82% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 66.18% (+0.12)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 79.52% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 20.47% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 47.05% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 52.94% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Arbroath 28.92%
Draw 24.81%
Dunfermline Athletic 46.26%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 7.4% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 28.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.81%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 9.76% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.3% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.74% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.26%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT East End Park
  • Malachi Fagan-Walcott 18' goal
  • Xavier Benjamin 21' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Halloran 26' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 63' yellowcard
  • Lewis McCann 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jess Norey 27'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 34'
  • goal Thomas O'Brien 52'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jay Bird 21' yellowcard
  • Jay Bird 45'+3' goal
  • Jay Bird 74' redcard
  • Jermaine Hylton 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Jakubiak 67'
  • goal Craig Wighton 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT East End Park
  • Josh Edwards 48' goal
  • Craig Wighton 73' goal
  • Michael O'Halloran 81' yellowcard
  • Craig Wighton 90' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 38'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Dec 9, 2022 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT Gayfield Park
  • Thomas O'Brien 74' goal
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 6'
  • goal Matty Todd 19'
  • goal Kyle Benedictus 22'
  • goal Matty Todd 36'
  • goal Craig Wighton 68'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Gold 9' goal
  • Thomas O'Brien 73' yellowcard
  • Michael McKenna 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Pybus 29'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Mark Connolly 56' yellowcard
  • Lewis McCann 57' yellowcard
  • Owain Fon Williams 82' yellowcard
  • goal Rhys Breen 6' (OG)
  • goal Michael McKenna 45'
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 49'
  • goal Anton Dowds 81'