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Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Arbroath
2 - 3
Dunfermline

Stewart (54', 64')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Otoo (24'), Allan (32'), Kane (45')
Ritchie-Hosler (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Arbroath 0-1 Partick
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawDunfermline Athletic
28.92% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)24.81% (0.016000000000002 0.02)46.26% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.63% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.104 -0.1)47.23% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)69.46% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)30.05% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.113 -0.11)66.18% (0.111 0.11)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)20.47% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)52.94% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 28.92%
    Dunfermline Athletic 46.26%
    Draw 24.81%
ArbroathDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 28.92%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.26%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Dunfermline
1-1
Arbroath
Fagan-Walcott (18')
Benjamin (21'), O'Halloran (26'), Kane (63'), McCann (73')
O'Brien (52')
Norey (27'), O'Brien (34'), Hamilton (90+2'), Hamilton (90+1')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Arbroath
1-1
Dunfermline
Bird (45+3')
Bird (21'), Hylton (75')
Bird (74')
Wighton (90+1')
Jakubiak (67')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Dunfermline
3-0
Arbroath
Edwards (48'), Wighton (73', 90')
O'Halloran (81')

O'Brien (38')
Dec 9, 2022 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Arbroath
1-5
Dunfermline
O'Brien (74')
MacDonald (6'), Todd (19', 36'), Benedictus (22'), Wighton (68')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Arbroath
1-0
Dunfermline
Gold (9')
O'Brien (73'), McKenna (87')

Pybus (29')
rhs 2.0


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