Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 45.51% ( | 24.44% ( | 30.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.01% ( | 44.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( | 67.34% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( | 19.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( | 52% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( | 28.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( | 63.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.04% |