Scottish Championship | Gameweek 34

Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
1 - 2
Morton

McKenna (68')
Oakley (76'), Waters (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Crawford (56'), Oakley (58')
Steele (77')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 5-0 Arbroath
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 1-4 Dundee Utd
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Greenock Morton
25.38% ( -0.02)	24.09% ( 0.14)	50.53% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

-0.62)

46.6% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

-0.58)

68.87% (

0.58)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55% (

-0.35)

32.44% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.04% (

-0.39)

68.96% (

0.39)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

-0.28)

18.47% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

-0.48)

49.67% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 25.38%

Greenock Morton 50.53%

Draw 24.09%

Arbroath	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.38%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.53%