Scottish Championship | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
2 - 1
Arbroath

Duffy (45+3'), Samuel (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McIntosh (61')
Little (31'), Walker (56'), Stowe (85')
Little (76')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Partick 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 1-2 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Arbroath
69.2% ( 2.07)	18.57% ( -0.96)	12.22% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 48.5% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07% (

1.64)

42.93% (

-1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.67% (

1.61)

65.33% (

-1.61)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.71% (

1.04)

11.28% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.09% (

2.22)

35.9% (

-2.22)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.67% (

-0.72)

45.33% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.81% (

-0.58)

81.19% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 69.19%

Arbroath 12.22%

Draw 18.57%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Arbroath
2-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.19%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.57%	0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.22%