Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Wallace Duffy 45'+3' goal
  • Alex Samuel 80' goal
  • yellowcard Ricky Little 31'
  • yellowcard Gordon Walker 56'
  • goal Leighton McIntosh 61'
  • redcard Ricky Little 76'
  • yellowcard Mark Stowe 85'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
Partick 1 - 0 Inverness
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Billy Mckay

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
Arbroath 1 - 2 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jay Bird

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 69.2% (+2.07)
Draw 18.57% (-0.97)
Arbroath 12.22% (-1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.5% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.07% (+1.65)
Under 2.5 42.93% (-1.65)
Over 3.5 34.67% (+1.61)
Under 3.5 65.33% (-1.61)
Over 4.5 18.02% (+1.18)
Under 4.5 81.98% (-1.19)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 88.71% (+1.04)
Under 0.5 11.28% (-1.04)
Over 1.5 64.09% (+2.22)
Under 1.5 35.9% (-2.22)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 54.67% (-0.73)
Under 0.5 45.33% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 18.81% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 81.19% (+0.59)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 69.19%
Draw 18.57%
Arbroath 12.22%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-0 @ 12.17% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.35)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 8.85% (+0.45)
3-1 @ 7.01% (+0.22)
4-0 @ 4.83% (+0.43)
4-1 @ 3.82% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.11% (+0.27)
5-1 @ 1.67% (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.51% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 69.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.46)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 18.57%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.40)
1-2 @ 3.49% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 12.22%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 25
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Craig Slater 37' yellowcard
  • Ricky Little 77' yellowcard
  • Michael McKenna 80' yellowcard
  • Adam Mackinnon 82' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Samuel 49'
  • yellowcard Cammy Kerr 76'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 83'
  • goal Cameron Harper 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Nikola Udjur 21' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 39' goal
  • yellowcard David Gold 17'
  • goal Jay Bird 29'
  • yellowcard Jay Bird 35'
  • goal David Gold 42'
  • yellowcard Mark Stowe 82'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 89'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Gayfield Park
  • Craig Slater 47' yellowcard
  • Scott Stewart 69' goal
  • Michael McKenna 79' goal
  • goal Luis Longstaff 10'
  • goal Aaron Doran 31'
  • goal Billy Mckay 48'
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 88'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • David Gold 34' goal
  • Thomas O'Brien 41' goal
  • Scott Stewart 70' goal
  • Thomas O'Brien 75' yellowcard
  • Aaron Steele 84' goal
  • goal Adam Brooks 43'
  • redcard Harry Lodovica 63'
  • yellowcard Morgan Boyes 84'
  • goal Lewis Hyde 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 53' goal
  • Scott Allardice 78' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Yasin Ben El-Mhanni 26' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 9'
  • goal Jay Henderson 45'
  • goal Daniel MacKay 65'
  • goal Lewis Nicolson 86'