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Inverness CT
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36
May 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Greenock Morton

Inverness
3 - 1
Morton

Boyes (30'), Harper (56' pen.), McAllister (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Broadfoot (41')
Gillespie (52'), Power (55'), Mullen (56'), Muirhead (58')
Muirhead (58')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Last Game: Morton 0-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawGreenock Morton
38.85% (-1.172 -1.17)26.73% (0.439 0.44)34.42% (0.736 0.74)
Both teams to score 51.62% (-1.264 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (-1.677 -1.68)53.4% (1.68 1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-1.437 -1.44)74.94% (1.44 1.44)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-1.412 -1.41)26.82% (1.416 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-1.898 -1.9)62.12% (1.901 1.9)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.357 -0.36)29.46% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-0.44 -0.44)65.46% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.85%
    Greenock Morton 34.42%
    Draw 26.72%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.508 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.53 0.53)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.9% (0.268 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.42%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Morton
0-2
Inverness

French (45+1'), Power (60'), O'Connor (76'), Muirhead (88')
Mckay (2'), McAllister (34')
Carragher (45'), Duffy (45+1'), Kerr (48'), Savage (88')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Inverness
0-0
Morton
Muirhead (55')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Morton
2-1
Inverness
Oakley (20'), Baird (80')
Muirhead (26'), Blues (29'), McGrattan (90+7'), Mullen (90+2'), McGrattan (90+7')
Brooks (90+4')
Wotherspoon (22'), Shaw (83')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Morton
1-2
Inverness
Gillespie (69' pen.)
Allardice (54'), Carson (88')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Inverness
2-2
Morton
Mckay (57'), Cairns (85')
Miller (5'), Muirhead (80')