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Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
East End Park
Inverness CT

Dunfermline
1 - 1
Inverness

Benedictus (41')
Benedictus (2'), Tod (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pepple (75')
Carragher (24')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Raith Rovers
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
39.32% (-0.139 -0.14)26.54% (0.031000000000002 0.03)34.14% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (-0.111 -0.11)52.67% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)74.32% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.128 -0.13)26.22% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (-0.172 -0.17)61.32% (0.17 0.17)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)29.27% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 39.31%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 34.14%
    Draw 26.54%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.31%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.14%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Inverness
0-0
Dunfermline
Carragher (60'), Devine (88')
Allan (30'), Hamilton (66')
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Dunfermline
1-1
Inverness
McCann (87')
Chalmers (45'), Hamilton (45+3')
Devine (43')
Gilmour (45+2'), Harper (45+3'), Duffy (74')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Inverness
1-1
Dunfermline
Shaw (12')
Duffy (46'), Brooks (58')
Hamilton (80')
Tod (90')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Inverness
2-0
Dunfermline
McAlear (58'), Samuels (77')
Samuels (83')

Donaldson (83'), Pybus (90+1')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Dunfermline
1-1
Inverness
Lawless (80' pen.)
Allan (34'), Cole (81'), McCann (82')
Sutherland (39')
Devine (10'), McAlear (70'), Carson (79')