Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.