Scottish League Cup
Jul 27, 2024 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 0 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Slobodan Rubezic 35' yellowcard
  • Jack MacKenzie 46' goal
  • Ester Sokler 48' goal
  • Ester Sokler 61' goal
  • Peter Ambrose 84' goal
  • James McGarry 86' goal
  • Slobodan Rubezic 90'+2' goal
  • goal <TBD> 40'

Aberdeen vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 23, 2024 7.45pm
Aberdeen 2 - 1 Airdrieonians

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 3.00pm
Dumbarton 3 - 4 Airdrieonians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result

Aberdeen 65.87% (-0.18)
Draw 18.95% (+0.04)
Dumbarton 15.18% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.25% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 37.74% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 40.01% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 59.99% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 22.14% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 77.85% (-0.08)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 89.31% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 10.69% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 65.41% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 34.59% (+0.04)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 62.3% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 37.69% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 25.53% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 74.47% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 65.87%
Draw 18.95%
Dumbarton 15.18%
Aberdeen
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 7.51% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.2% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.1% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 65.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.79% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.95%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 4.29% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.18%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 13, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Ryan Blair 36' goal
  • Vicente Besuijen 43' yellowcard
  • Matty Kennedy 57' goal
Scottish Cup
Apr 3, 2021 12.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Nathaniel Wedderburn 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tommie Hoban 69'
  • goal Callum Hendry 84'
Scottish Cup Gameweek 4
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Cosgrove 86' goal
  • yellowcard Conor Brennan 87'
Scottish Cup
Mar 8, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adam Rooney 53' goal