Dumbarton
Scottish League One Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg
May 14, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium

Dumbarton
2 - 1
Spartans

Wallace (21'), Gray (29')
Wilson (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sonkur (48')
Russell (31'), Watson (40')
Coverage of the Scottish League One Playoffs Final clash between Dumbarton and Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Stirling 0-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One Playoffs

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Peterhead 1-5 Spartans
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Spartans win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawSpartans
43.64%25.98%30.38%
Both teams to score 52.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58%51.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77%73.23%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56%23.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56%57.44%
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51%67.49%
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 43.64%
    Spartans 30.38%
    Draw 25.97%
DumbartonDrawSpartans
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.38%

How you voted: Dumbarton vs Spartans

Dumbarton
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Spartans
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Spartans
2-6
Dumbarton
Russell (28'), Whyte (45')
Blair (5', 55'), Lynas (32'), Lennon (43'), Ruth (64'), Graham (89')
Blair (24'), Lynas (39')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Dumbarton
0-0
Spartans
Pignatiello (69'), Ruth (72'), Wilson (85'), Newbury (90+3')
Armstrong (56'), Watson (59')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Spartans
2-0
Dumbarton
Russell (64'), Whyte (86')
Tapping (53')

Hilton (90+1')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dumbarton
1-1
Spartans
Wallace (55' pen.)
Hilton (57')
Dishington (90')
Allan (54'), Armstrong (57'), Tapping (77')
Jul 14, 2018 3pm
Group Stage
Spartans
0-0
Dumbarton
(Aggregate 0-0 | Dumbarton win 4-3 on penalties)
McFarland (31')
Hutton (79')