Scottish League One Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg
May 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Dumbarton

Spartans
2 - 2
Dumbarton

Russell (3'), Henderson (90+4' pen.)
Whyte (56'), Craigen (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ruth (5', 53')
Ruth (45+1'), Gray (90+1'), Graham (90+2')
Coverage of the Scottish League One Playoffs Final clash between Spartans and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 Spartans
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League One Playoffs
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 Spartans
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish League One Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
SpartansDrawDumbarton
37.33% (-0.505 -0.51)26.23% (0.042999999999999 0.04)36.43% (0.465 0.47)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (-0.158 -0.16)51.17% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.139 -0.14)73.02% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (-0.358 -0.36)26.63% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-0.476 -0.48)61.87% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.2 0.2)27.15% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (0.257 0.26)62.55% (-0.255 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Spartans 37.33%
    Dumbarton 36.43%
    Draw 26.23%
SpartansDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.43%

Head to Head
May 14, 2024 7.30pm
Final 1st Leg
Dumbarton
2-1
Spartans
Wallace (21'), Gray (29')
Wilson (64')
Sonkur (48')
Russell (31'), Watson (40')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Spartans
2-6
Dumbarton
Russell (28'), Whyte (45')
Blair (5', 55'), Lynas (32'), Lennon (43'), Ruth (64'), Graham (89')
Blair (24'), Lynas (39')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Dumbarton
0-0
Spartans
Pignatiello (69'), Ruth (72'), Wilson (85'), Newbury (90+3')
Armstrong (56'), Watson (59')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Spartans
2-0
Dumbarton
Russell (64'), Whyte (86')
Tapping (53')

Hilton (90+1')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dumbarton
1-1
Spartans
Wallace (55' pen.)
Hilton (57')
Dishington (90')
Allan (54'), Armstrong (57'), Tapping (77')