Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spartans in this match.