UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 22, 2024 at 6pm UK

Parken

Copenhagen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

(Copenhagen win 3-1 on aggregate)

Diks (77' pen.), Falk (90+6')
Vavro (17'), Diks (60'), Elyounoussi (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

J (60'), McInnes (62'), O'Hara (76'), Bainbridge (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Copenhagen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Copenhagen

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Viborg
Sunday, August 18 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Copenhagen in this match.

Result
Copenhagen	Draw	Kilmarnock
73.53% ( -0.1)	16.09% ( 0.05)	10.37% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.98% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.62% (

-0.05)

36.38% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.49% (

-0.06)

58.51% (

0.06)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.49% (

-0.03)

8.51% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.51% (

-0.09)

29.49% (

0.09)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.73% (

0.07)

44.27% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.65% (

0.06)

80.34% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Copenhagen 73.52%

Kilmarnock 10.37%

Draw 16.09%

Copenhagen	Draw	Kilmarnock
2-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 73.52%	1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 16.09%	1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 10.37%