Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 81.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 6.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Magpies win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.