UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))

Derry
2 - 1
Magpies

(Magpies win 3-2 on aggregate)

Connolly (38'), Hoban (57')
O'Reilly (25'), Hoban (30'), Kelly (49'), McMullan (80'), Connolly (85'), Diallo (103')

FT
(aet)

De Haro (111')
Storer (32'), Jesus Arguez Ruiz (51'), Diaz (64'), De Haro (90+4'), Ronco (93'), Coombes (98')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and Magpies.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Magpies 2-0 Derry
Thursday, July 11 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Magpies

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Magpies 2-0 Derry
Thursday, July 11 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Derry	40	1.60	Hoban
2	Waterford	33	1.38	Amond
3	Shamrock	31	1.35	Kenny
4	Shelbourne	28	1.17	Jarvis
5	Sligo	27	1.13	Chapman
6	Drogheda	24	1.00	Pierrot
7	St Patrick's	24	0.96	Keating
8	Bohemians	22	1.00	Akintunde
9	Galway United	19	0.83	Walsh
10	Dundalk	17	0.71	Gullan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 9.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Magpies win it was 0-1 (3.19%).

Result
Derry City	Draw	Magpies
74.35% ( 0.15)	16.13% ( -0.04)	9.53% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 47.34% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69% (

-0.12)

39.31% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.35% (

-0.12)

61.65% (

0.13)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.95% (

0.01)

9.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.21% (

0.01)

30.79% (

-0.01)

Magpies Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.05% (

-0.29)

47.95% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.8% (

-0.21)

83.2% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Derry City 74.33%

Magpies 9.53%

Draw 16.13%

Derry City	Draw	Magpies
2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 74.33%	1-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.13%	0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 9.53%