Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.