Sligo Rovers
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23
Jul 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds
Derry City

Sligo
2 - 1
Derry

Chapman (61' pen., 89')
Pijnaker (59'), Chapman (62'), Morahan (79'), Wilson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McMullan (54')
O'Reilly (44'), Higgins (45'), Patching (74'), McEleney (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Sligo Rovers and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sligo 2-0 Shamrock
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 5-1 Drogheda
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Sligo RoversDrawDerry City
20.61% (0.382 0.38)27.35% (-0.196 -0.2)52.04% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 40.73% (0.914 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.28% (0.922 0.92)62.72% (-0.924 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.74% (0.667 0.67)82.26% (-0.66799999999999 -0.67)
Sligo Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.91% (0.976 0.98)46.09% (-0.979 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.21% (0.744 0.74)81.79% (-0.745 -0.75)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (0.33 0.33)24.44% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (0.459 0.46)58.88% (-0.461 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Sligo Rovers 20.61%
    Derry City 52.04%
    Draw 27.34%
Sligo RoversDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 4.76% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.23% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.61%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.26% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 15.87% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-2 @ 11.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.85% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 52.04%

How you voted: Sligo vs Derry

Sligo Rovers
35.5%
Draw
12.9%
Derry City
51.6%
31
Head to Head
May 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Derry
2-2
Sligo
Duffy (51'), Patching (83' pen.)
McMullan (28'), Maher (36')
Hutchinson (18'), Morahan (67')
Reynolds (36'), Wiggett (45+1'), Hartmann (57'), McGinty (80'), Chapman (81'), Hutchinson (81')
Feb 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sligo
0-0
Derry
Denham (53'), Malley (86'), Waweru (90+2'), Waweru (90+2')
McJannett (26'), Hoban (55'), Connolly (70'), Patching (81')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Sligo
1-0
Derry
Radosavlevic (84')
O'Sullivan (31'), Russell (32'), Brannefalk (36'), Buckley (38'), Mahon (38'), Bolger (71')

Boyce (45+2'), Coll (84'), Dummigan (86')
Boyce (79')
Jul 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Derry
2-1
Sligo
McGonigle (30'), Patching (90+5' pen.)
McJannett (5'), Diallo (45')
Lafferty (41')
Bolger (33'), Pijnaker (45+2'), Cawley (76'), Mahon (82')
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Sligo
1-0
Derry
Fitzgerald (4')
Morahan (7'), Bolger (59'), Mahon (65')
Mahon (74')

O'Reilly (10'), McEneff (36'), Diallo (64')