Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
May 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Derry City

Dundalk
0 - 0
Derry


Gullan (18'), Muller (56')
FT

Hoban (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Sligo
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
23.56% (-0.168 -0.17)28.5% (-0.124 -0.12)47.93% (0.291 0.29)
Both teams to score 41.04% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.99% (0.267 0.27)64% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.81% (0.19 0.19)83.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)43.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.273 0.27)27% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.357 0.36)62.35% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 23.56%
    Derry City 47.92%
    Draw 28.49%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.56%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 15.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 47.92%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Derry

Dundalk
31.3%
Draw
6.3%
Derry City
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Derry
4-1
Dundalk
O'Reilly (31'), Patching (46'), Mullen (58'), Duffy (65')
O'Kane (75')
Benson (14'), Animasahun (42')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Dundalk
1-3
Derry
Hoban (90+6' pen.)
Horgan (19'), Leahy (25')
Patching (42', 77'), Doherty (47')
McMullan (85')
May 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
3-0
Dundalk
McEneff (19'), Kavanagh (60'), Duffy (83')
Apr 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dundalk
2-2
Derry
Benson (71'), Yli-Kokko (72')
Doherty (44'), Kavanagh (79')
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Derry
0-0
Dundalk