Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
Waterford United	Draw	Dundalk
36.97% ( 0)	26.19%	36.84%

Both teams to score 53.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.02%

50.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15%

72.85% (

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

26.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

62.02%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17%

26.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88%

62.12% (

Score Analysis

Waterford United 36.97%

Dundalk 36.84%

Draw 26.19%

Waterford United	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.97%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.84%