Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bohemians in this match.