League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
9
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-
Adam O'Reilly
31'
-
William Patching
46'
-
Danny Mullen
58'
-
Michael Duffy
65'
-
Robbie Benson
14'
-
Mayowa Animasahun
42'
-
Ryan O'Kane
75'
Derry City vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
Result
Derry City
61.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
22.26%
▼
(-0.11)
Dundalk
16.49%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
47.65%
▲
(+0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.13%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 2.5
49.87%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 3.5
28.13%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 3.5
71.87%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 4.5
13.4%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 4.5
86.6%
▼
(-0.38)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5
84.19%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
15.81%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
55.03%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 1.5
44.97%
▼
(-0.39)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5
56.59%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 0.5
43.4%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 1.5
20.37%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 1.5
79.63%
▼
(-0.46)
Score analysis
Derry City
61.24%
Draw
22.26%
Dundalk
16.49%
Derry City
1-0
@
12.65%
▼
(-0.25)
2-0 @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-98.29)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 61.24%
2-0 @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-98.29)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 61.24%
Draw
1-1
@
10.56%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.26%
0-0 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.26%
Dundalk
0-1
@
5.73%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.49%
1-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.49%