Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Galway United win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.