Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 72.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 9.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.63%) and 3-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Drogheda United
72.86% ( -0.01)	17.88% ( 0)	9.26% ( 0)

Both teams to score 40.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-0)

48.03% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8% (

-0)

70.2%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.26% (

-0.01)

11.73% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.12% (

-0)

36.88% (

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.77%

54.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.59% (

87.41% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derry City 72.84%

Drogheda United 9.26%

Draw 17.88%

Derry City	Draw	Drogheda United
2-0 @ 14.6% 1-0 @ 13.63% 3-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% 5-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 72.84%	1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 2.74% Other @ 0.43% Total : 17.88%	0-1 @ 3.89% 1-2 @ 2.55% 0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 9.26%