Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 90.1%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 2.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 4-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.51%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.