University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 26
Sep 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
Derry City

UCD
0 - 5
Derry


O'Brien (90')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mullen (2'), Patching (40', 52'), Kavanagh (44', 57')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

All competitions
Last Game: Drogheda 3-0 UCD
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-3 Derry
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.53%) and 0-3 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawDerry City
8.74% (-0.095099999999999 -0.1)16.74% (-0.125 -0.13)74.52% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 41.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.245 0.25)44.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (0.235 0.23)67.1% (-0.236 -0.24)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.73% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)53.26% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.18% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)86.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (0.12 0.12)10.4% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.07% (0.27200000000001 0.27)33.93% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 8.74%
    Derry City 74.5%
    Draw 16.74%
University College DublinDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 3.49% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-1 @ 2.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 8.74%
1-1 @ 7.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 16.74%
0-2 @ 14.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 10.7% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.74% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-4 @ 6.06% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.82% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.74% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.73% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 74.5%

How you voted: UCD vs Derry

University College Dublin
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Derry City
71.4%
7
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Derry
4-1
UCD
McEneff (13'), Duffy (50', 64'), Ward (84')
Doherty (45+2'), Ward (80'), Ward (81')
Wells (75')
Gallagher (15')
Mar 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
UCD
0-4
Derry
McEneff (15', 41'), O'Neill (65'), Osam (75' og.)
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derry
3-0
UCD
Graydon (5'), Diallo (71'), Duffy (86')

Gallagher (62'), Brennan (75')
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
UCD
0-1
Derry

Caffrey (20')
Patching (53' pen.)
McGonigle (41')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Derry
7-1
UCD
Patching (13'), McGonigle (21', 23', 60'), McJannett (34'), Dummigan (45'), Boyce (55')
(29')
Nolan (63')
Higgins (31'), (41')