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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion
Derry City

Tobol
1 - 0
Derry

Asrankulov (65')
Orazov (3'), Asrankulov (15'), Zharynbetov (45+3'), Mladovic (59'), Chesnokov (67'), Shakhov (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Reilly (50'), Connolly (61'), Patching (71')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tobol

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Last Game: Tobol 1-2 Basel
Thursday, August 3 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Derry City

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: KuPS 3-3 Derry
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
TobolDrawDerry City
34.79%28.51%36.71%
Both teams to score 46.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.89%60.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.68%80.33%
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41%32.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87%69.14%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65%31.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28%67.72%
Score Analysis
    Tobol 34.78%
    Derry City 36.71%
    Draw 28.5%
TobolDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.78%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.5%
0-1 @ 11.85%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.87%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.71%

How you voted: Tobol vs Derry

Tobol
55.6%
Draw
18.5%
Derry City
25.9%
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