Conference League
Derry
Aug 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
ET The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Tobol
  • William Patching 15' goal
  • Adam O'Reilly 69' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Serge Deble 14'
  • yellowcard Bagdat Kairov 72'
  • yellowcard Roman Asrankulov 86'
  • yellowcard Ivan Rogac 104'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 116'
  • yellowcard Bojan Mladovic 118'

Derry City vs Tobol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 10, 2023 3.00pm
Tobol 1 - 0 Derry

Tobol

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 10, 2023 3.00pm
Tobol 1 - 0 Derry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tobol had a probability of 9.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.05%) and 3-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Tobol win it was 0-1 (4.12%).

Result

Derry City 71.86% ▲ (+0.83)
Draw 18.49% ▼ (-0.46)
Tobol 9.65% ▼ (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.05% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.58% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 2.5 49.42% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 3.5 28.54% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 3.5 71.46% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 4.5 13.67% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 4.5 86.32% ▼ (-0.47)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 87.59% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 0.5 12.41% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 1.5 61.69% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 1.5 38.31% ▼ (-0.98)

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5 45.73% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 54.27% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 12.56% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 87.44% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

Derry City 71.85%
Draw 18.49%
Tobol 9.65%
Derry City
2-0 @ 14.66% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 14.05% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.10)
5-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 71.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.20)
0-0 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 18.49%
Tobol
0-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 9.65%

Head to Head

Conference League
Tobol
Aug 10, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ortaliq Stadion
Derry
  • Ramazan Orazov 3' yellowcard
  • Roman Asrankulov 15' yellowcard
  • Samat Zharynbetov 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Bojan Mladovic 59' yellowcard
  • Roman Asrankulov 65' goal
  • Islam Chesnokov 67' yellowcard
  • Evgeniy Shakhov 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 50'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 61'
  • yellowcard William Patching 71'

Form Data

Derry 3 - 0 Drogheda
Tobol 1 - 0 Derry
KuPS 3 - 3 Derry
Derry 2 - 1 KuPS
Derry 1 - 0 Torshavn
Torshavn 0 - 0 Derry
Tobol 1 - 0 Derry
Tobol 1 - 2 Basel
Basel 1 - 3 Tobol
Honka 0 - 0 Tobol
Tobol 2 - 1 Honka
Tobol 1 - 1 Zrinjski Mostar