Bohemain FC
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
Jul 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dalymount Park
University College Dublin

Bohemians
2 - 0
UCD

Afolabi (75' pen., 89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dempsey (19'), Verdon (74'), Wells (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Bohemians and University College Dublin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, July 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-3 Drogheda
Friday, July 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 2.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 4-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.

Result
BohemiansDrawUniversity College Dublin
88.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)8.33%2.9%
Both teams to score 34.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.55%30.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.72%
Bohemians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)4.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.97%
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.52% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.67% (-0.00090000000000057 -0)92.33%
Score Analysis
    Bohemians 88.74%
    University College Dublin 2.9%
    Draw 8.33%
BohemiansDrawUniversity College Dublin
3-0 @ 14.17%
2-0 @ 13.56%
4-0 @ 11.11%
1-0 @ 8.65%
5-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 6.44%
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 5.05%
6-0 @ 3.65%
5-1 @ 3.17%
6-1 @ 1.66%
7-0 @ 1.63%
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 88.74%
1-1 @ 3.93%
0-0 @ 2.76%
2-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 8.33%
0-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 2.9%

How you voted: Bohemians vs UCD

Bohemians
100%
Draw
0.0%
University College Dublin
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
UCD
1-1
Bohemians
Doyle (88')
Afolabi (53')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Bohemians
2-1
UCD
Kirk (55'), Coote (58')
Kinsella-Bishop (12')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Bohemians
1-0
UCD
Clarke (40')
Jul 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
UCD
1-3
Bohemians
Lonergan (30')
Todd (44'), Higgins (77'), Ryan (87')
Todd (81')
Flores (37'), Burt (45+1'), Devoy (90' pen.)
Flores (71')
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bohemians
3-0
UCD
Ogedi-Uzokwe (43'), Devoy (65' pen.), Omochere (69')

Higgins (28'), Kerrigan (63')