League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23

Jul 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Dalymount Park

Bohemians
3 - 2
Dundalk

McManus (15'), O'Sullivan (81'), Afolabi (84')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Yli-Kokko (23'), Malley (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Bohemians and Dundalk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bohemians

All competitions

Last Game: Sligo 3-1 Bohemians
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundalk

All competitions

Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Shamrock
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.

Result
Bohemians	Draw	Dundalk
43.2% ( -0.01)	27.26% ( -0)	29.54% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.4% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.24% (

0.02)

56.76% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.3% (

0.02)

77.7% (

-0.02)

Bohemians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

0.01)

26.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92% (

61.07% (

-0)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.44% (

0.02)

34.56% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.72% (

0.03)

71.28% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bohemians 43.19%

Dundalk 29.54%

Draw 27.26%

Bohemians	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.19%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.54%