Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
Jun 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
St Patrick's Athletic

Dundalk
1 - 1
St Patrick's

Kelly (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carty (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Drogheda 1-2 Dundalk
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
42.61% (0.059999999999995 0.06)25.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)32.25% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.27% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (0.049999999999997 0.05)47.15% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05)69.38% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (0.048000000000002 0.05)22.09% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (0.074000000000005 0.07)55.45% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.77% (0.0029999999999966 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 42.61%
    St Patrick's Athletic 32.25%
    Draw 25.13%
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.25%

How you voted: Dundalk vs St Patrick's

Dundalk
37.2%
Draw
39.5%
St Patrick's Athletic
23.3%
43
Head to Head
May 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
St Patrick's
2-1
Dundalk
Doyle (30'), Carty (79')
Lennon (28'), Forrester (54')
Mulraney (53')
Tulloch (48')
Doyle (29'), Malley (53'), Wasiri Williams (71'), Lewis (90')
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Dundalk
5-0
St Patrick's
Hoban (5'), Annesley (15'), Tulloch (51'), Kelly (53'), Malley (84')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Dundalk
1-2
St Patrick's
O'Kane (45+1')
Forrester (20'), O'Reilly (90+3')
Jul 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
St Patrick's
1-1
Dundalk
Doyle (15')
O'Reilly (51'), Atakayi (66'), Forrester (79')
Kelly (77')
Hoban (57'), Sloggett (77'), O'Donnell (80'), O'Donnell (90')
> Preview
May 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Dundalk
1-0
St Patrick's
Kelly (24')

(86')
> Preview