League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21

Jun 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

United Park (Drogheda)

Drogheda
1 - 2
Dundalk

Foley (9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoban (77', 80' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Drogheda United and Dundalk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Drogheda United

All competitions

Last Game: Drogheda 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundalk

All competitions

Last Game: Cork City 1-2 Dundalk
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dundalk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.

Result
Drogheda United	Draw	Dundalk
34.72% ( -0.23)	28.16% ( 0.33)	37.13% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 47.28% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.13% (

-1.24)

58.87% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.63% (

-0.97)

79.37% (

0.97)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68% (

-0.78)

32% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54% (

-0.9)

68.46% (

0.89)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.53% (

-0.67)

30.47% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.32% (

-0.81)

66.68% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Drogheda United 34.72%

Dundalk 37.12%

Draw 28.15%

Drogheda United	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.72%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.12%