League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Jul 14, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT UCD Bowl
  • Danu Kinsella-Bishop 83' goal
  • Adam Verdon 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Brennan 19'
  • goal Conor Keeley 26'
  • yellowcard Luke Heeney 70'
  • goal Adam Foley 72'
  • yellowcard Warren Davis 90'+2'

University College Dublin vs Drogheda United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 7, 2023 7.45pm
UCD 0 - 4 Shelbourne
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Danu Kinsella-Bishop

Drogheda United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 7, 2023 7.45pm
Drogheda 0 - 0 Shamrock
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Freddie Draper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.

Result

University College Dublin 21.19% (+0.08)
Draw 24.72% (+0.02)
Drogheda United 54.09% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.29% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.18% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.26% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.74% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 11.52% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.48% (-0.01)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 60.07% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 39.93% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 23.41% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 76.59% (-0.08)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5 80.39% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 19.61% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.45% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 51.56% (+0.06)

Score analysis

University College Dublin 21.19%
Draw 24.72%
Drogheda United 54.08%
University College Dublin
1-0 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.3% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.72%
Drogheda United
0-1 @ 12.75% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 10.39% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 54.08%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 26, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Hunky Dorys Park
  • Freddie Draper 42' goal
  • Freddie Draper 45' goal
  • Dylan Grimes 67' goal
  • goal Adam Wells 19'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT UCD Bowl
  • goal Emmanuel Adegboyega 73'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Keaney 39' goal
  • Dara Keane 67' goal
  • goal Darragh Nugent 3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Aug 1, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adam Foley 3' goal
  • Adam Foley 22' yellowcard
  • Andrew Quinn 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Dunne 45'
  • goal Tom Lonergan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Sam Todd 53'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 73'
  • yellowcard Tom Lonergan 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Dayle Rooney 54'
  • goal Chris Lyons 61'
  • yellowcard Darragh Nugent 84'
  • goal Evan Weir 89'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gary Deegan 20' goal
  • Chris Lyons 24' goal
  • 40' yellowcard
  • Chris Lyons 43' goal
  • Dean Williams 64' goal
  • Gary Deegan 81' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Todd 54'
  • goal Liam Kerrigan 82'