Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.