MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 10:19:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
Shelbourne

UCD
0 - 4
Shelbourne


Keaney (29'), Moore (79'), O'Connor (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moylan (45'), Lunney (66'), Boyd (80' pen.), Ross Wilson (90+1')
Coyle (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Shelbourne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Patrick's 7-0 UCD
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Derry
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: University College Dublin 0-2 Shelbourne

Neither side is particularly potent in the final third - they have only 34 goals between them all season. UCD will be rattled by their hammering last time out, and even if they manage to keep their visitors at bay for a while, goal-shy Shelbourne must surely find a way through the league's leakiest defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawShelbourne
15.8% (-0.115 -0.12) 24.31% (-0.081 -0.08) 59.88% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 40.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.57% (0.11 0.11)58.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.085000000000001 0.09)79.02% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.56% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)49.44% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.73% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)84.27% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.11399999999999 0.11)19.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.189 0.19)51.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 15.8%
    Shelbourne 59.87%
    Draw 24.3%
University College DublinDrawShelbourne
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 15.8%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 15.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.05% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.87%

How you voted: UCD vs Shelbourne

University College Dublin
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Shelbourne
80.0%
10
Head to Head
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Shelbourne
1-0
UCD
Griffin (39')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Shelbourne
1-1
UCD
Ledwidge (40')
Dignam (64')
Jul 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
UCD
0-2
Shelbourne

Brennan (50')
Keaney (54')
Boyd (55' pen.), Carr (90+3')
McManus (46')
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Shelbourne
2-0
UCD
Boyd (45+1' pen.), Moylan (46')
Boyd (40'), (90+2')

(84'), (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne167721711628
2Derry CityDerry167632415927
3Shamrock RoversShamrock166732617925
4Waterford UnitedWaterford156452016422
5Galway United1556487121
6Bohemians156271417-320
7St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's165471517-219
8Sligo RoversSligo154651415-118
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda153661523-815
10DundalkDundalk15168823-159


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