League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT UCD Bowl
  • goal Jack Moylan 45'
  • goal Jonathan Lunney 66'
  • goal Sean Boyd 80'
  • goal John Ross Wilson 90'+1'

University College Dublin vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 30, 2023 7.45pm
St Patrick's 7 - 0 UCD
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Danu Kinsella-Bishop

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 30, 2023 7.45pm
Shelbourne 1 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result

University College Dublin 15.8% (-0.12)
Draw 24.31% (-0.09)
Shelbourne 59.88% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.75% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.57% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 58.43% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 20.97% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 79.02% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 8.9% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 91.1% (-0.06)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 50.56% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 49.44% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 15.73% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 84.27% (+0.07)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 80.6% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 19.4% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 48.79% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 51.21% (-0.20)

Score analysis

University College Dublin 15.8%
Draw 24.3%
Shelbourne 59.87%
University College Dublin
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 15.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.3%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 15.72% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 12.89% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.05% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.97% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.89% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 59.87%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Shane Griffin 39' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT UCD Bowl
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 33
Oct 24, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kameron Ledwidge 40' goal
  • goal Mark Dignam 64'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Jul 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sean Brennan 50' yellowcard
  • Jack Keaney 54' redcard
  • yellowcard Brian McManus 46'
  • goal Sean Boyd 55'
  • goal Daniel Carr 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sean Boyd 40' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 45'+1' goal
  • Jack Moylan 46' goal
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Feb 28, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adam Verdon 36' yellowcard
  • Jack Keaney 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian McManus 43'
  • yellowcard Aaron O'Driscoll 47'
  • yellowcard Kameron Ledwidge 47'
  • yellowcard John Ross Wilson 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Luke Byrne 90'+9'