University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
Shelbourne

UCD
0 - 4
Shelbourne

FT(HT: 0-1)
Moylan (45'), Lunney (66'), Boyd (80' pen.), Ross Wilson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Shelbourne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 7-0 UCD
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Shelbourne

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Derry
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawShelbourne
15.8% (-0.115 -0.12)24.31% (-0.081 -0.08)59.88% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 40.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.57% (0.11 0.11)58.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.085000000000001 0.09)79.02% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.56% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)49.44% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.73% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)84.27% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.11399999999999 0.11)19.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.189 0.19)51.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 15.8%
    Shelbourne 59.87%
    Draw 24.3%
University College DublinDrawShelbourne
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 15.8%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 15.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.05% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.87%

How you voted: UCD vs Shelbourne

University College Dublin
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Shelbourne
80.0%
10
Head to Head
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Shelbourne
1-0
UCD
Griffin (39')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
UCD
0-0
Shelbourne
Oct 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Shelbourne
1-1
UCD
Ledwidge (40')
Dignam (64')
Jul 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
UCD
0-2
Shelbourne

Brennan (50')
Keaney (54')
Boyd (55' pen.), Carr (90+3')
McManus (46')
> Preview
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Shelbourne
2-0
UCD
Boyd (45+1' pen.), Moylan (46')
Boyd (40'), (90+2')

(84'), (90+4')