Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.