Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cork City win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cork City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cork City would win this match.