Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.