Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shelbourne in this match.