Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 77.05%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sligo Rovers in this match.