Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.